Wednesday, October 24, 2012
THE TALK OF THE TOWN IS LACK OF INVENTORY...IS HOUSING THE COMEBACK KID?
If any of us paid any attention at all to all the
various headlines in Augusts' business sections in any newspaper in southern
California, then you noticed a couple of items. Firstly, we are grossly below seasonal averages for
inventory. In fact, many cities in
Orange County are below 2 months.
The city with the largest inventory, not surprising with the high end
prices, is Newport Beach, with 5 months.
Some very skeptical economist are wading into the shallow end of opinion, that housing is making a recovery. Not only is it making a recovery, but
in fact it is one of the most solid pillars of the current, albeit weak,
economic recovery. July's housing
sales volume jumped 25.7% from year over year 2011 to 2012. In fact, according to an article in the
Los Angeles Times business section, home prices are highest since 2008 and
posted a 2% rise in July.
According to research firm Data Quick, the region's median home price
hit $306,000, reflecting that 2% rise from June and 8.1% year over year. Supply and demand will once again
factor in the region's prices.
According to Data Quick President John Walsh, "There's growing
evidence prices have crept up in areas where more demand has met a shrinking
number of homes for sale."
There are many positive factors for housing's comeback besides shrinking
inventory. Also fueling the market
is financing, overall stable housing affordability, and pent up demand for many
people who have sat out the market for years. They are coming back in droves. Don't expect a substantial rise in inventory any time
soon. The time for sellers and
buyers to act, may just be right now.
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